Feb 272018
 

Doug Ford spoke in Bala on February 27, 2018 when he was campaigning for the leadership of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario. The video is on Facebook here, a copy is here, and the full transcript is below …

Friends, I’m here today in Bala, speaking with local residents, about the impact of this Liberal government’s disastrous, disastrous plans to put a privately-owned green energy power plant. I’ve spoken to numerous residents, local residents, who have serious concerns with this development.

Friends, what I’m seeing here today is extremely, extremely troubling. This location is critical to the entire Muskoka watershed, a Canadian and economic treasure. It is troubling to see the Liberal government has forced this project on the local community that is firmly against it.

And I see this no matter where I go in Ontario, the local people, the grassroots people, don’t have a say. My government is going to listen to the local people, the grassroots people. It’s not about the political insiders and the establishment. The good people of this region do not want this project, and it’s not in the public interest. This is not about green energy, we can talk about this green energy file all day long. This is about the surplus energy being constructed on public land for private profit. Friends, we have a lot of smart people in this area right now, looking at these energy policies. Look into these policies, it’s about making money. That’s what this is all about. It’s not about getting more green energy, that’s a farce because we are all environmentally friendly. I’m environmentally friendly, but it comes down to making money.

The Township of Muskoka calls itself an unwilling host, this situation is completely unacceptable, I met some local Councillors, local representatives here today. Projects like Bala and privatizing hydro cost this province and taxpayers billions of dollars. And they always worry about where they’re getting money from, if, again, the energy policies are costing billions of dollars, for very few people, not the grassroots people.

Projects like this, these are why people of Ontario are being forced to choose between heating and eating.

As my team has travelled across Ontario, there’s people, truly, choosing between paying their hydro bills and putting food on their table.

My friends, this project is another example of a long list of Liberal pet projects that would cost this province dearly. Projects like this are hurting our province and costing taxpayers billions of dollars, all to benefit the political insiders, the political elites that have been running this province for years.

Local residents have been kept in the dark, that’s not uncommon for this government is to keep everything a secret, portray that they’re something that they aren’t. Kathleen Wynne preaches about the environment, but then she gets her buddies making billions of dollars, which is unacceptable.

And the other thing we’re going to look into, we going to look into who is making donations to whose campaigns, and you connect the dots. And I’m sure that when you connect the dots, we’ll come up with the answer.

We have no idea what the environmental impacts of this project will be. The province’s own scientific experts are recommending the opposite of what’s happening here in Muskoka. The experts are telling the government not to choke the Muskoka watershed, and do not over-develop it.

But for some reason, the province is doing the exact opposite, go back to my earlier comments why they’re doing the opposite.

This tells me there’s a serious problem here. This project stinks of political interest and insider deals. When I am Premier, I want to know who is benefitting from this project and at what cost to local residents and the local environment.

The public deserves to know how much money the people behind this project are making, and the total cost of this project that, again, has been a big secret. Ontarians deserve to know who has been influenced, and we’ll get down to the bottom of who is being influenced.

As Premier, I will conduct a full investigation into this project, and make sure the local residents are armed with the facts. As Premier I will get answers, and I can assure you, I will get answers. I will drill down and find out who is part of the big scam. And I’m the only candidate, the only candidate that will fight for this community. Every community across Ontario is facing similar projects, and as Premier I will clean up this mess.

My friends, I thank you for coming today. We’re known to make sure, what we say we’re going to do, we going to do.

And as sure as I’m standing here, I’m going to come back, and each and every one of you can hold me accountable. I will be back here in the same spot, and we’re going to stop this project.

Feb 102018
 

We’ve heard many justifications for the proposed hydro-electric generating station at the Bala falls, but that is like someone ranting on and on about how beautiful their wedding is going to be – the chair covers, the napkin rings, the venue, the food, and on and on and on. Sure it’s easy to make a beautiful wedding, all you need is money – and the proponent has shown he’s inherited plenty of that.

But the thing about a wedding is there needs to be someone to marry. You can ignore the problem for a while, but inevitably, it is a show-stopper of a problem doomed to be a complete waste of time and money.

So the justifications and excuses we hear for the proposed Bala project are just meaningless and irrelevant babble (there will be a wheelchair-accessible park, the proponent paid the Township $125,000, there will be helpful explanatory plaques…). And it is despicable that those spouting such babble are not insisting that the proponent’s safety plan be disclosed – drowning unsuspecting tourists is rather more important than those lame justifications. If one is going to create an extreme new danger, then part of that responsibility is to show exactly how the public would be adequately warned and informed.

The fundamental problem for the proposed Bala project is unsuspecting tourists would be drowned, as the information available so far is that the proponent couldn’t and wouldn’t adequately warn of the dangers.

And the dangers are real:

So that Bala doesn’t become the drowning capital of Muskoka, infamous for Tony’s death machine, the proposed Bala project should not be allowed to operate until the public has been shown that it could and would be operated safely. It is simply criminally small-minded to rant on about the perceived benefits or inevitability of this disaster while ignoring how deadly it would be.

Feb 072018
 

Over the past months, we have received many comments about the proponent destroying most of a large inscribed boulder which was in the way of their proposed project. More recently, we’ve received comments about what the proponent has now done with some of the pieces from that boulder, here’s one that conveys many of the concerns:

I understand that as part of their construction work, the proponent had to destroy most of a large inscribed boulder that was in their way. And that someone that works for the proponent somehow thought that leaving a piece of this boulder on a mountain in Africa would be a good idea, apparently thinking this would somehow honour the memory.

This is as misguided as thinking that leaving your murdered uncle’s arm in a foreign country he’d never been to would honour his memory, just because “it would always be there”. It confounds the mind, Africa has nothing to do with Bala. The proponent so misunderstands the damage they are doing to Bala’s history that they don’t realize this makes it worse.

This is a disgusting indignity and shows how out of touch the proponent is with the inexcusable and permanent damage they are doing to Bala’s beauty and cultural heritage. Pouring concrete on the bedrock of the falls is sacrilegious, and now it churns my gut that the proponent thinks they are somehow helping by leaving an important part of Bala’s history in some foreign country that has nothing to do with Bala. The proponent has shown yet again that in every way, they completely don’t understand what they are doing.

This makes me sick.

 

Feb 022018
 

Over the next four weeks, the proponent will need to build a 50′-wide, 12′-high temporary dam at their proposed construction site, as shown below (click on it for a larger view, this view is looking south from the parking in front of Margaret Burgess Park, the Muskoka Road 169 bridge over the Bala north channel is on the left, and the Bala north dam is on the right).

Not only would this temporary dam be as crucial infrastructure as the Bala north and south dams (as a failure would be disastrous), but the proponent has stated they intend to continue their proposed blasting and excavation adjacent to this temporary dam.

As dams are crucial public infrastructure, their design must be reviewed and approved by a Professional Engineer at the Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry. Such approvals typically take months, yet this temporary dam would need to be approved and built within the next four weeks.

If the MNRF requires too long to review this design, then the proponent’s cofferdam could not be removed by the March 1, 2018 deadline to avoid flooding Lake Muskoka during spring freshet. If there isn’t enough time for a full review, the proponent may start construction on a poorly-design temporary dam which could fail.

So the MNRF allowing the proponent’s non-compliance with their permit conditions has created a seemingly impossible situation for the MNRF. 

We have therefore sent this letter to the MNRF.

Feb 022018
 

In 2010 the Ministry of the Environment required the proponent to provide an Economic Impact Study for the proposed hydro-electric generating station at the Bala falls.

Our articles here and here note that the study had major flaws, and that it therefore reached an unjustified conclusion (a copy of the study is here).

For example, page 29 of the study notes: “The direct employment impact from construction in Muskoka District is 45 jobs and the total employment impact for Ontario is 81 jobs with 65 of those in Muskoka District. Local spending in Muskoka District is estimated to be $10.8 million generating an additional $5.5 million in GDP in the region and $7.0 million in Ontario.” We challenge the proponent to provide any evidence of this, it certainly isn’t apparent looking at the few workers on-site, many of which were laid-off a week or so ago.

Feb 022018
 

The proponent for the proposed hydro-electric generating station at the Bala falls has installed an upstream cofferdam. This obstructs about half of the Bala north channel, as you can see in the photograph below (click on it for a larger view). This view is looking south from the parking spaces in front of Margaret Burgess park; the Muskoka Road 169 bridge over the Bala north channel to the left, and the Bala north dam to the right.

As the full flow capacity of the Bala north channel is needed when there is a heavy rain storm, the proponent’s approval from the Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry requires that the proponent remove this upstream cofferdam upon 24 hours notice of a flood watch. You can read this condition for yourself in the MNRF’s approval here, in item 7.

To meet this condition, the proponent has provided both written and verbal assurance that their construction sequencing would ensure they could always remove their upstream cofferdam on 24 hours notice.

However, as can be seen in the photograph above, the proponent has reneged on this commitment and are therefore not complying with their permit conditions, as they have fully excavated the south shore of the Bala north channel. If the proponent was to remove their upstream cofferdam, the resulting flow would bypass the Bala north dam, as shown by the blue line in the figure below.

Such flow bypassing the Bala north dam would result in washing all the surface materials directly into the Moon River, which would cause environmental harm and this is not allowed according to their environmental approval.

Jan 272018
 

Anyone can come to Bala and park for free, and sit in the park and have a picnic lunch for free – there are even three sets of public washrooms available for free.

You can climb on the rocks and wade in the water for free, as these people below are at the base of the Bala north falls. This is what creates world-class, unique, and classic Canadian memories.

You can go fishing for free. And if you don’t have a fishing license, you can get that at the nearby bait shop, where you can also rent a canoe or kayak. And there are restaurants, stores, and shops – tourism is an important part of Bala’s economy.

But all this would be ruined by the proposed hydro-electric generating station at the Bala falls. The bait shop’s docks would be too dangerous to use. The fast water from Lake Muskoka would be brought hundreds of feet closer to the above popular in-water recreational area, making it too dangerous to use. The accessible and public shoreline seen here would either be used, or be made too dangerous to use, by the proposed generating station. 94% of the water from both falls would be diverted into the proposed generating station, drying-up both falls – tourists won’t come to see the dry rocks where the falls used to be.

The proponent said they would not impact the existing in-water recreation, but they lied.

The proponent said their generating station would not be higher than the level of the road, but they lied, as it would actually tower three storeys above the road and six storeys above the Moon River.

Instead of Bala being for everyone, the proposed project would make Bala for no one.

Jan 142018
 

Proponent is now risking flooding Lake Muskoka
The proponent’s current construction activities include their upstream cofferdam obstructing the flow of water from Lake Muskoka through the Bala north channel. To ensure this would not result in flooding Lake Muskoka, the proponent’s approval from the Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry requires that the upstream cofferdam can be removed on 24 hours notice.

The proponent has apparently decided to renege on this commitment and to not comply with this Condition of their approval, as they have excavated beside the Bala north channel when they had said they would not at this early stage of work. Therefore, the proponent could not now remove their upstream cofferdam, and this risks flooding the thousands of private properties on Lake Muskoka if there was a rain storm or temperatures high enough to melt the ice and snow upstream in the next few weeks.

More detail is in our article entitled: Proponent’s big lie #8: their non-compliance risks flooding Lake Muskoka, which you can read here.
 

Bureaucrats misleading politicians
In our democratic society, our elected provincial politicians are supposed to make decisions representing our concerns.

A problem is that while we can write letters to and e-mail our elected politicians all we want, our elected politicians usually do not see or reply to these communications: instead government bureaucrats do all the communications work for the elected politicians.

Government bureaucrats also convey our concerns to the elected politicians, and this is the problem: the bureaucrats are not disclosing to the politicians that:

  • The proponent would deceive the public as treacherously turbulent water would extend outside of their safety boom.
  • The public could not be adequately warned of the dangers.
  • While it would be unprecedented to build such a dangerous industrial facility as close to docks and in-water recreation, the proponent has not been able to show how, or if, they could operate safely.

While we have detailed our concerns to the government in hundreds of letters, the bureaucrats have summarized all this to elected politicians with the vague seven-word statement that the public’s concerns are that: “the project is in an unsafe location”.

More detail is in our article entitled: Our politicians are failing us because the bureaucrats are misleading them, which you can read here.
 

Murdered in 45 seconds
SaveTheBalaFalls.com realizes that we must be credible, factual, and professional in the hope that our concerns will be accepted by government decision-makers. We realize that some may initially think that the title of our next article is exaggerated, but we believe that after reading the article most will agree the title is well-justified. We look forward to reading your comments, which can be submitted below the article.

We chose that title as the fact is, if someone tipping out of a canoe at Purk’s Place docks ends up inside the upstream safety boom, within 45 seconds the current would quickly carry them downstream to the proposed hydro-electric generating station’s intake, where they would be pulled under water, and – whether wearing a life jacket or not – would be held under water by the hundred tons per second of water rushing past them, and they would drown.

More detail is in our article entitled: Murdered in 45 seconds, which you can read here. As for all our articles, you can submit comments below the article (the comments are shown after we review them to ensure they aren’t spam).

Jan 132018
 

One of the drivers of Bala’s economy is that visitors to Bala can rent canoes and kayaks at Purk’s Place.

The most likely time for anyone to fall or tip out of a canoe or kayak is at the docks when when they are getting into or out of it. In Bala, this would be right at the upstream safety boom and the intake for the proposed hydro-electric generating station would be just 55 m downstream.

The proponent’s own flow simulation shows that the water would be flowing at about 1.2 m/s from the docks to their proposed intake. And every second, tons of water would be flowing into their 35′-deep intake.

At 1.2 m/s it would take only 45 seconds for someone falling in the water at the upstream safety boom to be carried by the current to the proposed intake. And with tons of water being drawn down and in to the proposed intake every second, anyone – regardless of swimming ability or whether they’re wearing a life jacket or not – would be held underwater against the intake trash rack, and they would drown. There would not be an Operator in the proposed generating station, and it would not have an “emergency stop” button on the outside either.

Just 45 seconds from falling in the water to being drowned. That would not be an accident, that would be the Ministry of the Environment and Climate Change not realizing that their mandate of protecting the environment includes protecting human life (click on the graphic below for a larger view).

Transport Canada and the MNRF have a “Point of No Return” calculation for how far upstream from a hazard the upstream safety boom should be. Based on this calculation, in early 2011 the MNRF’s Public Safety Measures Plan for the Bala recommended that the upstream safety boom in the Bala north channel be relocated farther upstream, which Transport Canada approved in late 2011 and which was subsequently done.

As detailed here, the Point of No Return calculation shows that the construction of the proposed generating station requires that the upstream safety boom be relocated still farther upstream.

However, even though the Point of No Return calculation in the Public Safety Measures Plan for the Bala dams does not take into account the increased dangers due to the construction of the proposed hydro-electric generating station at the Bala falls, both Transport Canada and the MNRF have stated the upstream safety would not need to be relocated farther upstream. So they are both complicit in there not being enough time for someone somehow being downstream of the upstream safety boom to rescue themselves. So “Murdered in 45 seconds” is their decision.

You might think the upstream safety boom would be helpful to a canoe or kayak, to keep it from entering the danger area. What actually happens is due to the current, your canoe/kayak ends up parallel along the safety boom and tips slightly sideways as the downstream side rides up onto the safety boom due to the current. You can’t paddle on the downstream side because the 16″-diameter safety boom is there and that side is high. And if you paddle on the upstream side you just turn yourself into the safety boom and don’t go anywhere. As you realize how precarious your situation is, what would happen if you tip – and all you can see the the danger downstream as you’re above the safety boom – panic is likely.

You might think, anyone falling in the water should just hang on to the safety boom. There are many problems:

  • The safety boom is designed for high visibility and to prevent large boats from travelling over them. It is not designed for people to hang on to them.
  • For example, the safety boom is required to extend at least 12″ above the water. As a result, the floats are at least 16″ in diameter, so holding on to one would be like hugging a sideways barrel way above you while having to keep your face above water. And the safety boom is made of slippery plastic and there’s nothing to hold on to. Children’s and many adult’s arms would not be long enough to wrap around the safety boom if they could even get close enough, as they’d be fighting the current.
  • The safety boom is so high, that combined with the current, it would cause a canoe or kayak to capsize. This was the cause of the drowning of 19-year-old Victoria Cunningham at the Isle-Maligne hydro-electric generating station near Alma, Quebec in 2008. The canoe she was in was capsized by the upstream safety boom and the current, and she was unable to hang on to the safety boom.
  • The safety boom is supposed to be a last line of defence, warning signs are supposed to be upstream of a safety boom, but due to land ownership restrictions in Bala, adequate warning signage could not be installed.

So far we know that the:

  • Treacherously turbulent water would extend far outside of the downstream safety boom, deceiving people into thinking the water there would be safe: when it actually would be deadly.
  • Proponent refuses to disclose how, or if, they could operate their proposed generating station safely, even though it would be unprecedented to build a hydro-electric generating station as close to docks and in-water recreation.
  • Proponent has stated they would not warn the public before starting operation (even though the MNRF requires them to provide such warning), and such warning would be unreliable anyways as the frequent trains passing by would mask the sound.
  • Currently, there is almost no flow in the Bala north channel during the summer, so falling out of a canoe there (or holding the Bala regatta just upstream of it, or Scuba diving off Diver’s Point) is safe. As the proposed generating station would change all this, so most flow would be through the Bala north channel, the proponent has not figured out how, or if, their proposed project could be operated safely.
  • Proponent would build a portage right beside their proposed generating station, encouraging people to canoe through the treacherously turbulent water which would extend outside of the downstream safety boom.

It is as if the government is saying to the proponent: “If you want to be stupid enough to build it, we’ll be stupid enough to approve it”.

Jan 132018
 

In our democracy, the people’s interest is supposed to be represented by our elected politicians. But it appears this has not happened for the proposed Bala project due to scheming by unelected government bureaucrats.

The provincial politicians we elect rely on full-time government employees, called bureaucrats, to summarize and present complicated and technical issues.

While the politicians we elect have the responsibility and authority to make most decisions, the politicians don’t have the time to make all the decisions, so they delegate the authority to make particular decisions to particular bureaucratic positions. Other decisions are made by politicians, but based reports from the bureaucratic staff, and possibly other input as well such as from the public.

While we can send all the letters and e-mails we’d like to our elected politicians, but the fact is the politicians don’t see most of our attempts at communicating. Instead the bureaucrats read and reply to almost all our letters and e-mails, and the politicians are shielded from all direct knowledge of what is happening.

This can be very efficient, but it can also enable bureaucrats to completely take control of a situation, as has apparently happened for the proposed project to build a hydro-electric generating station at the Bala falls. It is almost impossible to directly meet an elected Minister, all of our requests have been ignored or denied.

One of the main ways for politicians, and their political staff, to learn about particular issues, campaigns, or problems is through the House Note. These are documents written by provincial government bureaucrats, and are updated every few weeks or months as developments occur. House Notes provide carefully-worded answers to expected questions, background, status, issues, and expected next steps.

The two main Ministries involved with the proposed Bala project are the Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry (MNRF) and the Ministry of the Environment and Climate Change (MOECC). An MNRF House Note is below (click on it to read the full document).

Of particular interest is page 4 where the Minister and other political staff are being informed by the bureaucrats about the “Opposition to the Project”, which is: “Save the Bala Falls (STBF) is a local group lobbying to prevent the construction of the hydroelectric generating station, mainly on the grounds that: … the project is in an unsafe location”.

This is very telling. All of our facts and analysis showing that people would drown, that the proponent has not shown how, or if they could operate the proposed project safely, that the visiting public could not be adequately warned of the extreme dangers the proposed project would create, and that it would be unprecedented to build such a dangerous industrial facility as close to docks and in-water recreation, are summarized to the politicians by the vague statement that: “the project is in an unsafe location”.

This vague statement would not convey to a busy politician what the bureaucrats are hiding from them. And this seems to be a major reason why the public interest is not being considered.